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Early analysis of the Australian Covid-19 epidemic

As of 1 May 2020, there had been 6808 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. Of these, 98 had died from the disease. The epidemic had been in decline since mid-March, with 308 cases confirmed nationally since 14 April.

Freya Shearer

Honorary Research Associate

Endemic country capacity building and decentralization

Adam Punam Susan Saddler Amratia Rumisha PhD PhD PhD (Biostatistics) Senior Research Officer Honorary Research Associate Honorary Research Associate

Geospatial modelling for malaria risk stratification and intervention targeting for high burden high impact countries

Punam Susan Tasmin Amratia Rumisha Symons PhD PhD (Biostatistics) Honorary Research Associate Honorary Research Associate Honorary Research Associate

Geospatial modelling for malaria risk stratification and intervention targeting for low-endemic countries

Punam Susan Tasmin Amratia Rumisha Symons PhD PhD (Biostatistics) Honorary Research Associate Honorary Research Associate Honorary Research Associate

Modelling the COVID pandemic with the Geographical COVID-19 Model (GEO-COV)

Researchers have developed a new model for simulating covid-19 outbreaks in Western Australia. 

Tracking global intervention coverage

Adam Dan Saddler Weiss PhD PhD Senior Research Officer Honorary Research Fellow Daniel.Weiss@thekids.org.au Senior Research Officer Honorary

Estimating the impact of imported malaria on local transmission in a near elimination setting: a case study from Bhutan

Bhutan has achieved a substantial reduction in both malaria morbidity and mortality over the last two decades and is aiming for malaria elimination certification in 2025. However, a significant percentage of malaria cases in Bhutan are imported (acquired in another country). The aim of the study was to understand how importation drives local malaria transmission in Bhutan.

Biases in Routine Influenza Surveillance Indicators Used to Monitor Infection Incidence and Recommendations for Improvement

Monitoring how the incidence of influenza infections changes over time is important for quantifying the transmission dynamics and clinical severity of influenza. Infection incidence is difficult to measure directly, and hence, other quantities which are more amenable to surveillance are used to monitor trends in infection levels, with the implicit assumption that they correlate with infection incidence.

Malaria treatment for prevention: a modelling study of the impact of routine case management on malaria prevalence and burden

Testing and treating symptomatic malaria cases is crucial for case management, but it may also prevent future illness by reducing mean infection duration. Measuring the impact of effective treatment on burden and transmission via field studies or routine surveillance systems is difficult and potentially unethical. This project uses mathematical modeling to explore how increasing treatment of symptomatic cases impacts malaria prevalence and incidence.