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Projected impacts of climate change on malaria in Africa

The implications of climate change for malaria eradication this century remain poorly resolved. Many studies focus on parasite and vector ecology in isolation, neglecting the interactions between climate, malaria control and the socioeconomic environment, including disruption from extreme weather. Here we integrate 25 years of African data on climate, malaria burden and control, socioeconomic factors, and extreme weather. 

Citation:
Symons TL, Moran A, Balzarolo A, Vargas C, Robertson M, Lubinda J, Saddler A, McPhail M, Harris J, Rozier J, Browne A, Amratia P, Bertozzi-Villa A, Bhatt S, Cameron E, Golding N, Smith DL, Noor AM, Rumisha SF, Palmer MD, Weiss DJ, Desai N, Potere D, Sukitsch N, Woods W, Gething PW. Projected impacts of climate change on malaria in Africa. Nature. 2026.

Keywords:
Climate change; malaria; environment; extreme weather; burden and control

Abstract:
The implications of climate change for malaria eradication this century remain poorly resolved. Many studies focus on parasite and vector ecology in isolation, neglecting the interactions between climate, malaria control and the socioeconomic environment, including disruption from extreme weather. Here we integrate 25 years of African data on climate, malaria burden and control, socioeconomic factors, and extreme weather.